11 Key Stats: Quick Service Restaurants Compared

2. Growth outlook: 10.35% CAGR to 2030 (projected $731.60B)

Analysts forecast a compound annual growth rate of about 10.35% for the U.S. QSR industry from 2025 through 2030, taking the market toward roughly $731.60 billion by 2030 (Mordor Intelligence, 2025). That pace is notably faster than recent historical averages and reflects structural changes such as greater digital penetration, automation, and delivery expansion. A rising CAGR like this signals both opportunity and change: operators who update service models and optimize unit economics can capture share, while those who lag may see margins squeezed by higher wages and platform fees. Growth assumptions in the projection include continued consumer demand for quick meals, investments in efficiency, and expanding point-of-sale technology that makes orders faster and cheaper to process. For planners, the projection provides a benchmark to set revenue goals and evaluate capital investments during expansion or renovation cycles. Source: Mordor Intelligence (2025).